If YouTube's struggling, what hope's anyone else got?

Was just reading a post from Mark Cuban, Blog Maverick, about what he percieves as desperation on the part of Google when it comes to monetising all that User Generated Content on their site.

Frankly, I don’t have the time to be a big YouTube watcher, so I’ll take Mark’s comments about changes and user experience at face value. Regardless though, I’ve long been a skeptic of the “we’ll build a loss making business with lots of eyeballs, and work out how to make a buck from it later” approach used by so many Web 2.0 consumer web plays.

And if Google can’t seem to make this work, you’ve got to ask yourself: “what hope does anyone else have”?

As remarked by Mike Cannon-Brooks in a SiliconBeachAustralia podcast, the sheer volume of eyeballs required to generate a sustainable business, assuming generous CPM’s, is amazing. If you want to have a $10m revenue business, you need to make close to $1m/month. If you manage to get $10 CPM, then you need 100 million page views per month – this is pretty massive scale, all for a business that could afford to employ, at most 50 staff, and that’s assuming you’re generating all of your own content (no licencing costs), and that your server and bandwidth costs aren’t too high.

Of course, this doesn’t mean is isn’t possible (divide all numbers by 10 if you and a few mates want to make it as a small crew), but unless you’re able to drive up your CPM by having content close to a transaction, in the current economy, its going to be an uphill battle.

1800 and 1300 Numbers in Australia

I’ve been doing a bit of research lately on phone setup for my new startup, Hiive Systems. Part of the establishment work is around phone numbers, and I’ve learned a few things I thought might be worth sharing.

Firstly, I’ve learned that – in Australia anyway – VoIP services haven’t yet come of age. Even after iPrimus came and gave a presentation at the Australian Telecommunication Users Group about their new VoIP services (and how their roll-out for Rebel Sport saved a lot of money and made them much more efficient), the presenter admitted that it is really about point to point type services where you’ve got multiple offices.

Secondly, I’ve learned a bit more about the 1300 and 1800 phone number system. We’ve had a 1800 number with Internetrix for a while, and we got it as part of a long distance plan through AAPT some time ago. In setting things up with Hiive, I wanted to have another look at how it all works.

Turns out, there are lots of companies out there that specialise in these sorts of services. Generally, you pay a monthly fee, usually with no committment, and then you pay a price per minute to receive calls. The prices of two companies, AllTel and Telcoworx are included in the attached spreadsheet, which you can see by clicking here.

These companies will route your call to any landline – or, for a higher cost, mobile – number you like, which makes sense. What surprised me the most, however, is that the difference between 1300 (cheaper, because the caller pays something) and 1800 (free to the caller) is bugger all. So, given 1800 numbers look a bit better/more professional/generous, we’ll be getting one of those.

The other thing that was new info is how the numbers are allocated. Since this is a national namespace, it works a bit like domain names, and some numbers – which can spell your company name on the handset – cost more than others. There’s a Federal body responsible for auctioning off numbers that are more in-demand, usually because they use a lot of repetition – called SmartNumbers which appear to be a part of the Australian Communications and Media Authority.

What surprised me was how they price these numbers. By going to the search form on the SmartNumbers website, you can do a search for the phone number you want, and they’ll tell you if it is a premium number, which they’ve determined will have a reserve price at an auction; the more repeating numbers, the higher the reserve it would appear.

As a result, changing the leading digit at the beginning of the number I’m looking for – I’ll keep it a secret for the moment until I’ve won the auction – changes the price from being a reserve of $500 to, in one case, a reserve of $12,500 – that’s a 25x increase in reserve!

Also like domain names, it would appear that once you’ve got one of these numbers, you become the “Rights of Use” holder; I think this is a bit like a lease on a domain name; you never own the domain, but you have the rights to it exclusively.

I remember a Fourth Estate Domain presentation some time ago with the (younger) Jack Singleton, who runs/ran Phone Names, and was trying to tap into this gold rush aspect. While it looks like the Feds have wised up with an auction system to stop companies “claiming” the rights to thousands of names, just to on-sell them like domain squatters, the more open nature of the process now should make people in business think about reserving a number that matches their business name.

… after the jump

I’ve been around blogging for over 3 years, but I’ve always been too busy to contribute actively to the discourse online. I’ve made a few posts here, the most recent getting close to three years ago, and while I’m busier than ever, putting the time aside to collect my thoughts enough to share them – even if it only with the Googlebot – is a discipline I’m hoping to stick to.

So, if you’re reading my blog for the first time, and wonder what the hell happened between early 2006 and now, a couple of weeks from the end of 2008, that’s it: no coma, no abduction by North Korea – just busy and priorities.

Hopefully you enjoy browsing, and feel free to contribute to the discussion: my twitter handle is @geoffmcqueen or you can catch me on Skype (chat preferred to phone calls) at geoffmcqueen.

the maiden post

welcome to the maiden post of my blog. this blog has been a while coming, and this first post comes to you from the heart of the blogging revolution, the crunchhouse in silicon valley. my business partner on omnidrive – a seminal web 2.0 startup – has just been named one of australia’s top bloggers. and one of my friends in the usa and occassional housemate, gabe rivera, is the brains behind one of the best bits of glue tying the whole blogging thing together, memeorandum.
i’m going to attempt to make the content in this blog global, from an australian perspective. what the hell does that mean? basically, i’m going to take an international perspective to discussing things that are in my field of concern (and possibly inflence) yet try and retain an australian character and a closer concern for the australian consequences of things that interest me than i the consequences they have on outer mongolia.

so, at the end of this first post, with nothing more than an introduction to claim, i’d like to finish with a welcome, and the hope that you enjoy the show. of course, comments are welcome at all times, and you can catch me via email at info@geoffmcqueen.com – just remember to confirm your message by replying to the challenge if it is the first time you’ve got in touch.